September was Livermore's strongest month of the fall — sales up, median up, and homes moving a full week faster than August. But as always, the honest version has a footnote or two.
SEPTEMBER BY THE NUMBERS
Median sale price: $1,200,000 — up 13.2% from September 2025
Average sale price: $1,319,140 — up 11.2% year-over-year
Homes sold: 59 — up 18% from last September
Average days on market: 23 — down from 34 a year ago
Sale-to-list price ratio: 100% — full asking price, on average
Active inventory at month's end: 111 homes, about 1.8 months of supply
Average price per square foot (sold): $679
Source: Bay East Association of REALTORS® MLS, Livermore detached single-family homes, September 2026.
THE STORY BEHIND THE NUMBERS
The headline gain deserves one honest caveat: September 2025 was a weak month (median $1,060,000), so part of this year's 13% jump reflects an easy comparison. The cleaner signal is price per square foot, which at $679 was essentially unchanged from a year ago ($680) — the second straight month where Livermore's underlying values held flat while the monthly median swung with the mix of homes sold.
What's unambiguous is the pace. Fifty-nine closings — 18% more than last September — in an average of just 23 days, at full asking price. Buyers were active, decisive, and willing to pay list for well-presented homes, even as inventory sat at its highest level in over a year.
WHERE THE MARKET IS MOVING
One market, two speeds — and the gap keeps widening.
The entry-level surge is now a confirmed trend, not a blip. The $800–899K band reached 50 sales year-to-date, up 43% from 35 at this point last year, and the $900–999K range edged ahead too (60 versus 58). Below $1 million, Livermore is having a genuinely busier year than last.
Above $1 million, the slowdown continues: the $1–1.299M core sits at 159 year-to-date sales versus 199 last year, and $1.3–1.699M at 108 versus 138 — both down roughly 20%. Two exceptions at the top: the $1.7–1.999M band is actually ahead of last year (47 versus 42), and homes over $3 million have logged 7 sales versus 4.
That's the shape of Livermore in 2026: strong at the entry, soft in the middle, selectively strong up top. Whether September's pace carries into the fall slowdown is exactly what October will tell us.
WHAT THIS MEANS IF YOU'RE SELLING
If your selling a home under $1 million, September's data says buyers are waiting for it — priced right, 23 days to contract is a realistic expectation. In the $1–1.7M middle, the bar is higher: with that segment running 20% behind last year, your preparation, presentation, and opening price do the heavy lifting.
WHAT THIS MEANS IF YOU'RE BUYING
More inventory than Livermore buyers have seen in over a year (111 active listings) plus a softer mid-market means real selection between $1M and $1.7M — the best negotiating conditions in that range in some time. At the entry level, expect company. South Bay relocators: at $679 per square foot, Livermore remains the Tri-Valley's strongest value play.
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
What was the median home price in Livermore in September 2026?
The median sale price for a detached single-family home in Livermore was $1,200,000 in September 2026, up 13.2% from $1,060,000 in September 2025, per Bay East Association of REALTORS® MLS data.
Are Livermore home prices going up?
The September median rose 13.2% year-over-year, though part of that reflects a weak September 2025 comparison. Price per square foot — $679 versus $680 a year ago — was essentially flat, suggesting stable underlying values with month-to-month medians driven by the mix of homes sold.
How fast are homes selling in Livermore?
In September 2026, Livermore homes averaged 23 days from listing to contract — down sharply from 34 days a year earlier — and sold at 100% of asking price on average.
Is Livermore a buyer's or seller's market?
Conditions lean seller overall (1.8 months of supply, full-price sales), but it depends heavily on price range: under $1M is competitive for buyers, while the $1–1.7M range currently offers buyers more selection and leverage.
Which Livermore price range is hottest right now?
The $800–899K band, with 50 year-to-date sales versus 35 at this point in 2025 — a 43% increase and the second straight month it has led the market's growth.
CLOSING / CTA
Every month I break down Livermore's market data — including which price segments are moving — so you can act on information, not headlines. Wondering what this means for your home or your search? Reach out anytime.
Katie Moe | Connect California Homes | 925-216-9083 | katie@connectcahomes.com | DRE #01507863
